Roman withdrawal from Britain
Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and PovertyRoman withdrawal from Britain after AD 411 brought an end to the island’s Roman administration and was followed by a profound economic collapse. By AD 450, the institutions and material systems that had supported Roman life were largely gone. The book makes this reversal a warning against reading England’s later prosperity as the inevitable continuation of its Roman past: the island had returned to poverty and political disorder long before it became the setting for inclusive institutions and the Industrial Revolution.
Britain under Roman rule
By AD 43, the emperor Claudius had conquered England but not Scotland. A later attempt by the governor Agricola to advance farther north proved futile. In AD 85 he built forts to defend England’s northern boundary, including Vindolanda, an isolated fort thirty-five miles west of Newcastle. The site later formed part of Hadrian’s Wall, but in AD 103, when the centurion Candidus was stationed there, it was still a remote military post.
A letter from Octavius to Candidus reveals the practical economy that connected even this frontier garrison to wider systems. Octavius had bought about five thousand modii of grain and needed cash to avoid losing his deposit; he also asked Candidus to arrange delivery of hides and a wagon, and queried an unpaid sum of 8½ denarii. The exchange points to a monetary economy, financial dealings, roads, taxation to pay soldiers, literacy, and a postal service of sorts. Beyond the fort, Roman England had urban baths and public buildings, houses built with mortar and tiled roofs, and mass-produced high-quality pottery, particularly in Oxfordshire.
Withdrawal and collapse
These features were already in decline by the fourth century. After AD 411, the Roman Empire abandoned England: troops were withdrawn, those who remained went unpaid, and, as central authority crumbled, local inhabitants expelled administrators. The military retreat was thus accompanied by the unravelling of the civil structures that had made Roman rule economically consequential.
By AD 450, the contrast with the world described in Octavius’s letter was stark. Money had disappeared from circulation, urban areas were abandoned, and buildings were stripped of stone. Roads became overgrown. Pottery was no longer mass-manufactured but crude and handmade; people had lost the use of mortar, literacy had declined substantially, and roofs were made of branches rather than tiles. The chapter condenses this break into the image that nobody wrote from Vindolanda anymore: the place remained, but the literate, connected life it had represented did not.
An interrupted history
The collapse returned England to the condition of a poor backwater, a position it had occupied before. While people in the Middle East were farming in settled communities, England’s inhabitants continued hunting and gathering for at least another 5,500 years. Farming and herding arrived through migrants spreading from the Middle East across Europe; England did not originate these innovations. Later, while cities, writing, and pottery developed elsewhere, England continued to lag behind and borrow from the Middle East and the rest of Europe, including during the Roman period.
This history complicates any claim that England’s later success followed naturally from ancient foundations. Despite its earlier poverty and political chaos, England eventually became the site of the first truly inclusive society and of the Industrial Revolution. The book attributes that divergence to interactions between institutional differences and critical junctures, including the Black Death and the discovery of the Americas—not to an unbroken Roman legacy. The withdrawal therefore matters both as a material collapse and as evidence that England’s eventual path was contingent: by AD 450, it had no effective centralized state, and its later transformation was still far in the future.